Updated Through 2023 Tournament
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RK Team
1 Butler 2 Connecticut 2 Florida 4 Michigan St. 4 Michigan 6 Arkansas 7 Xavier 7 North Carolina St. 7 Tulsa 10 UCLA 10 Richmond 12 Western Kentucky 13 Louisville 13 Villanova 13 Auburn 13 Rhode Island 13 Loyola-Illinois 18 Syracuse 19 Wisconsin 19 West Virginia 19 Oregon 19 Northern Iowa 19 George Mason 19 Kent St. 19 Ohio 19 Loyola-Marymount 19 Florida Atlantic 28 Temple 28 Providence 28 Siena 31 Kentucky 31 Gonzaga 31 LSU 31 Creighton 31 Boston College 31 Murray St. 31 UTEP 31 Davidson 31 George Washington 31 Miami-Ohio 31 Ball St. 31 Missouri St. 31 St. Peter's 31 Eastern Michigan 31 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 31 Cleveland St. 31 Tulane 48 VCU 48 UAB 48 Dayton 48 Arizona St. 48 Middle Tennessee St. 48 Florida Gulf Coast 54 Maryland 54 Florida St. 54 Seton Hall 54 Texas Tech 54 Minnesota 54 Wichita St. 54 Texas A&M 54 DePaul 54 Princeton 54 Southern Illinois 54 Old Dominion 54 Tennessee-Chattanooga 54 Valparaiso 54 Navy 54 Bucknell 54 Penn St. 54 Georgia St. 54 Weber St. 54 Louisiana Tech 54 Oral Roberts 54 Stephen F. Austin 54 Cornell 54 Harvard 54 Illinois St. 54 Santa Clara 54 Detroit 80 Kansas St. 80 Nevada 80 Vermont 80 Fairleigh Dickinson 80 Wyoming 80 Manhattan 80 Arkansas-Little Rock 80 North Dakota St. 80 Morehead St. 80 Norfolk St. 80 Northwestern St. 80 South Florida 92 North Carolina 92 Georgia Tech 92 Utah 92 Miami-Florida 92 New Mexico St. 92 Penn 92 St. Louis 92 Montana 92 East Tennessee St. 92 Bradley 92 California-Santa Barbara 92 Louisiana-Lafayette 92 Pepperdine 92 Hampton 92 Pacific 92 North Carolina-Wilmington 92 South Alabama 92 North Carolina-Asheville 92 Buffalo 92 Austin Peay 92 Central Florida 92 Drexel 92 Hawaii 92 North Texas 92 Fresno St. 92 Indiana St. 92 Marshall 92 San Diego 92 Western Michigan 92 Yale 92 Abilene Christian 92 California-Irvine 92 Central Michigan 92 Maryland-Baltimore County 92 Mercer 92 Furman 128 St. Mary's 128 La Salle 128 Southern 128 Belmont 128 North Carolina A&T 128 Holy Cross 128 Robert Morris 128 Lehigh 128 Liberty 128 Albany 128 Coppin St. 128 Rutgers 128 Monmouth 128 St. Bonaventure 128 Texas-San Antonio 128 Wright St. 128 Oakland 128 Radford 128 James Madison 128 Niagara 128 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 128 Cal Poly 128 California-Davis 151 San Diego St. 151 Washington 151 Houston 151 Utah St. 151 Texas Southern 151 Winthrop 151 Colorado 151 Oregon St. 151 Colorado St. 151 Mount St. Mary's 151 College of Charleston 151 Wisconsin-Green Bay 151 Wofford 151 Colgate 151 Delaware 151 Louisiana-Monroe 151 Northeastern 151 South Dakota St. 151 Evansville 151 Akron 151 Boston 151 South Carolina St. 151 Northwestern 151 Coastal Carolina 151 Long Beach St. 151 Montana St. 151 UNC-Greensboro 151 Florida A&M 151 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 151 American 151 California St.-Fullerton 151 Central Connecticut St. 151 Eastern Kentucky 151 Eastern Washington 151 Fairfield 151 Illinois-Chicago 151 Jackson St. 151 Lafayette 151 Northern Kentucky 151 Southern Mississippi 151 Air Force 151 California St.-Northridge 151 Eastern Illinois 151 Georgia Southern 151 Grand Canyon 151 Hofstra 151 Howard 151 Idaho 151 Jacksonville St. 151 Loyola-Maryland 151 Marist 151 McNeese St. 151 Morgan St. 151 Nicholls St. 151 Northern Arizona 151 Northern Illinois 151 Portland St. 151 Rider 151 Sam Houston St. 151 Samford 151 San Francisco 151 Tennessee St. 151 Texas St. 151 Towson 151 Troy 151 Arkansas St. 151 Binghamton 151 Brown 151 California St.-Bakersfield 151 Campbell 151 Canisius 151 Charleston Southern 151 Delaware St. 151 East Carolina 151 Florida International 151 Fordham 151 Gardner-Webb 151 Hartford 151 Idaho St. 151 IUPUI 151 Kennesaw St. 151 Lipscomb 151 Longwood 151 North Dakota 151 Northern Colorado 151 Portland 151 San Jose St. 151 Southeastern Louisiana 151 Southern Utah 151 St. Francis-Pennsylvania 151 Stony Brook 151 Texas-Arlington 151 Wagner 151 Western Carolina 245 Notre Dame 245 Iona 245 Mississippi Valley St. 245 Drake 245 Alcorn St. 245 Appalachian St. 245 Lamar 245 Prairie View A&M 245 Southeast Missouri St. 245 Alabama A&M 245 Bryant 245 North Florida 257 Texas 257 Memphis 257 Alabama 257 Iowa St. 257 USC 257 St. Joseph's 257 Virginia Tech 257 Long Island 257 Alabama St. 257 Jacksonville 267 Mississippi St. 267 Mississippi 267 New Orleans 267 North Carolina Central 271 Oklahoma St. 271 UNLV 271 Baylor 271 Charlotte 271 South Carolina 271 TCU 271 Boise St. 271 SMU 271 Washington St. 280 California 281 Marquette 282 Vanderbilt 282 Clemson 284 Nebraska 285 Tennessee 286 Missouri 286 BYU 286 Massachusetts 286 Georgia 290 Iowa 291 Duke 291 Stanford 291 New Mexico 294 St. John's 295 Georgetown 296 Indiana 297 Wake Forest 298 Pittsburgh 299 Ohio St. 300 Oklahoma 301 Illinois 301 Cincinnati 301 Virginia 304 Purdue 305 Kansas 305 Arizona |
Conference
Big East Big East SEC Big Ten Big Ten SEC Big East ACC AAC PAC 12 Atlantic 10 CUSA ACC Big East SEC Atlantic 10 Atlantic 10 ACC Big Ten Big 12 PAC 12 MVC Atlantic 10 MAC MAC WCC AAC AAC Big East MAAC SEC WCC SEC Big East ACC MVC CUSA Atlantic 10 Atlantic 10 MAC MAC MVC MAAC MAC Horizon Horizon AAC Atlantic 10 AAC Atlantic 10 PAC 12 CUSA Atlantic Sun Big Ten ACC Big East Big 12 Big Ten AAC SEC Big East Ivy MVC Sun Belt Southern MVC Patriot Patriot Big Ten Sun Belt Big Sky CUSA Summit WAC Ivy Ivy MVC WCC Horizon Big 12 MWC Amer East NEC MWC MAAC OVC Summit OVC MEAC Southland AAC ACC ACC PAC 12 ACC CUSA Ivy Atlantic 10 Big Sky Southern MVC Big West Sun Belt WCC CAA WCC CAA Sun Belt Big South MAC Atlantic Sun Big 12 CAA Big West AAC MWC MVC Sun Belt WCC MAC Ivy WAC Big West MAC Amer East Southern Southern WCC Atlantic 10 SWAC MVC CAA Patriot Horizon Patriot CUSA Amer East MEAC Big Ten CAA Atlantic 10 AAC Horizon Horizon Big South Sun Belt MAAC SWAC Big West Big West MWC PAC 12 Big 12 MWC SWAC Big South PAC 12 PAC 12 MWC MAAC CAA Horizon Southern Patriot CAA Sun Belt CAA Summit MVC MAC Patriot MEAC Big Ten Sun Belt Big West Big Sky Southern SWAC Southland Patriot Big West NEC Atlantic Sun Big Sky MAAC MVC SWAC Patriot Horizon Sun Belt MWC Big West OVC Sun Belt WAC CAA MEAC Big Sky CUSA Patriot MAAC Southland MEAC Southland Big Sky MAC Big Sky MAAC CUSA Southern WCC OVC Sun Belt CAA Sun Belt Sun Belt Amer East Ivy Big West CAA MAAC Big South MEAC AAC CUSA Atlantic 10 Big South Non DI Big Sky Horizon Atlantic Sun Atlantic Sun Big South Summit Big Sky WCC MWC Southland WAC NEC CAA WAC NEC Southern ACC MAAC SWAC MVC SWAC Sun Belt Southland SWAC OVC SWAC Amer East Atlantic Sun Big 12 AAC SEC Big 12 PAC 12 Atlantic 10 ACC NEC SWAC Atlantic Sun SEC SEC Southland MEAC Big 12 MWC Big 12 AAC SEC Big 12 MWC AAC PAC 12 PAC 12 Big East SEC ACC Big Ten SEC SEC Big 12 Atlantic 10 SEC Big Ten ACC PAC 12 MWC Big East Big East Big Ten ACC ACC Big Ten Big 12 Big Ten Big 12 ACC Big Ten Big 12 PAC 12 |
WABS
14 12 12 9.5 9.5 7 6.5 6.5 6.5 6 6 5.5 5 5 5 5 5 4.5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3.5 3.5 3.5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1.5 -1.5 -1.5 -1.5 -2 -2 -2 -2 -2 -2 -2 -2 -2 -2.5 -3 -3.5 -3.5 -4 -4.5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5.5 -6 -6 -6 -6.5 -7 -7.5 -8.5 -9.5 -10 -11 -12 -12 -12 -14 -16 -16 |
Expected Wins
8 49 36 52.5 41.5 31 23.5 12.5 4.5 49 1 3.5 44 42 14 3 3 52.5 32 18 17 1 1 0 0 0 0 20.5 6.5 0.5 81 41 16 9 10 2 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7.5 3.5 4.5 4.5 0.5 0.5 33 16 14 14 10 10 8 5 2 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15.5 4.5 0.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 95 21 21 14 3 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5.5 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 11 11 12 1 3 1 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 34 29 24 21 13 9 5 1 1 1 11.5 6.5 2.5 1.5 26 26 21 6 6 5 2 4 5 11.5 20 12.5 11.5 4 24.5 22 12 16 9 23.5 108 26 12 21.5 40 44.5 24.5 30.5 45 48 42 38 36 49 109 72 |
List of how teams have fared comparative to their seed in the 64 team era (Since 1985)
+1 for every round past their expected seed a team goes (ex. 9 seed makes Elite Eight is +3)
-1 for every round a team comes short of their expected seed (ex. 1 seed loses in Sweet Sixteen is -2)
An additional point will be granted for making the title game and another additional point for winning the championship (so #1 seed can get +2 if they win it all)
+.5 or -.5 will be given to the play-in games winners and losers
The worst output in one season would be -4 if a 1 seed lost in the first round. Virginia becomes the first team to post a -4. The next worst is -3 with a 2 seed losing in the first round or 1 seed losing in the second round.
The best single season output possible is +6.5 if someone playing in the play-in won it all which has never happened. A +6 would be the next best if a 9-16 seed won it all which also has never happened. So the best output that has occurred is +5 which has happened three times, with all three teams winning a championship.
#8 Villanova 1985
#6 Kansas 1988
#7 Uconn 2014
A 9-16 reaching the championship game would also garner +5, but that has never happened either.
+1 for every round past their expected seed a team goes (ex. 9 seed makes Elite Eight is +3)
-1 for every round a team comes short of their expected seed (ex. 1 seed loses in Sweet Sixteen is -2)
An additional point will be granted for making the title game and another additional point for winning the championship (so #1 seed can get +2 if they win it all)
+.5 or -.5 will be given to the play-in games winners and losers
The worst output in one season would be -4 if a 1 seed lost in the first round. Virginia becomes the first team to post a -4. The next worst is -3 with a 2 seed losing in the first round or 1 seed losing in the second round.
The best single season output possible is +6.5 if someone playing in the play-in won it all which has never happened. A +6 would be the next best if a 9-16 seed won it all which also has never happened. So the best output that has occurred is +5 which has happened three times, with all three teams winning a championship.
#8 Villanova 1985
#6 Kansas 1988
#7 Uconn 2014
A 9-16 reaching the championship game would also garner +5, but that has never happened either.
